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Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission was held in Seoul, South Korea. On the 12th, Vice Minister of Commerce Li Fei co-chaired the 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission with Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jiang Renxian in Seoul, South Korea. The two sides exchanged views on deepening China-ROK industrial chain supply chain, trade and investment, regional and multilateral cooperation, pragmatically promoted related matters, and reached broad consensus.China, with the largest plantation area in the world, has become the country with the greatest contribution to greening in the world. In the past 30 years since the signing of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, China has made remarkable achievements in combating desertification, especially since last June, China has launched the "Three North" project. At present, the forest coverage rate in the "Three North" project area has increased from 5% in the 1970s to 13.84%. By the end of 2023, the forest coverage rate in China exceeded 25%, the forest stock exceeded 20 billion cubic meters, and the plantation area ranked first in the world, making it the most green country in the world. (CCTV News)

Hong Kong stock Jingtai Holdings plunged nearly 15%, and the company's 1.464 million restricted shares are expected to circulate freely from today.The central bank's open market today launched a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 205.1 billion yuan, and the operating interest rate was flat at 1.50%. Today, 190.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired, and the net investment on that day was 14.2 billion yuan.Real estate stocks of Hong Kong stocks weakened, and Sunac China fell more than 4%. As of press time, Sunac China (01918.HK) fell by 4.03%, Rongxin China (03301.HK) fell by 3.85%, and Longhu Group (00960.HK) fell by 2.43%.

Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".Shanghai Securities: The pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. The Shanghai Securities Research Report pointed out that with the support of policies and the adjustment of the internal structure of the industry, the pharmaceutical and bio-industry is expected to further repair its performance and valuation. It is suggested to pay attention to five directions: 1) Innovative drugs (with strong national policy support, the payment terminal is expected to further improve and go to sea to occupy the global market); 2)CXO (the negative impact of the biosafety bill event has been eliminated, and the demand for orders in the superimposed interest rate reduction cycle has increased, which is expected to usher in a double repair of performance and valuation); 3) Imitation and innovation (centralized procurement is expected to clear up, increase innovation, and traditional pharmaceutical companies will usher in new opportunities); 4) Traditional Chinese Medicine (the national policy supports the innovation of traditional Chinese medicine, and its performance is expected to maintain a good growth rate); 5) Medical devices (equipment updating, high-consumption innovation, low-consumption going to sea, etc.). Individual stocks can be concerned about: Baekje Shenzhou, Wuxi PharmaTech, China Resources Sanjiu and so on.